Warning: Some transaction prices can be detrimental to your house price index

نویسندگان

چکیده

There is a broad consensus in international statistical organizations such as Eurostat and the International Monetary Fund that house price indices (HPIs) should be constructed using transaction data. We show here how data for new-built properties can undermine timeliness of hedonic HPIs when are pre-sold during planning or building stage, but entered into deed books only once projects completed. As consequence, new-builds will include stale prices. investigate this issue two Polish cities (Warsaw Poznan) find existing lead by up to 2 years. This lag dramatically distort National HPIs. The also has implications flagship measure inflation Europe—the Harmonized Index Consumer Prices (HICP)—since it planned owner-occupied housing HICP transactions HPI specifically new-builds. disappears preliminary agreements on used instead compilation an HPI.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Review of Income and Wealth

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1475-4991', '0034-6586']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12652